Collin Sexton

Of all the situations we’re covering in this piece, Collin Sexton’s may be the most difficult to anticipate.

What’s Sexton’s value in the eyes of NBA front offices? On one hand, we’re talking about a 23-year-old who averaged a reasonably efficient 24.3 points per game in his last active season (2020-21). On a surface level, it feels like some team ought to gamble max money on that combination of age and production.

A deeper dig raises questions. In light of Sexton’s 2021-22 season, teams may be apprehensive to extend him a massive offer. Even before a torn meniscus in his knee cut his year to 11 games, his production was in decline.

At the time of his injury, Collin Sexton was averaging 16.0 points per game. The emergence of Darius Garland cut significantly into his offensive role. Furthermore, Sexton has developed a reputation as a score-first, score-second guard who doesn’t elevate the play of his teammates.

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Coupled with his injury concerns, it feels unlikely that anyone will offer Collin Sexton max money. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers will be looking to make improvements following an encouraging 2021-22 season. Look for them to match whatever offers Sexton receives as a restricted free agent this summer.

Prediction: Collin Sexton re-signs with the Cavaliers for $15 to $18 million per season