When an NBA player gets picked in the lottery, they enter the league with expectations.
Why wouldn’t they? Fans of rebuilding teams spend months anticipating the draft. When it’s their team’s turn to select, they’re hoping to hear their preferred name called.
Lottery players are supposed to be the league’s premiere talents.
It doesn’t always go that way. If you’re strictly looking at the numbers, lottery players aren’t statistically likely to be stars. They’re just more likely to become them than non-lottery players.
For example, Rui Hachimura of the Washington Wizards does not look like he’ll be a star. Meanwhile, nobody’s expecting stardom from Frank Ntilikina of the Dallas Mavericks,.
Could the two former lottery picks switch sides this season?